CRUDE OIL (WTI)

$92.93

-3.52%
Thursday, March 19, 2026
21-Day Model Forecast
$92.02
-0.98%

WTI Crude Oil — 90 Day Price History

Forecast to Apr 17

21-Day Forecast

Bearish (-0.98%)
Target Price (P50)
$92.02
by Apr 17, 2026
Prediction Interval
$82$102
P10P90
P(Up)
45.3%
Regime
Choppy
Model
lgbm_crude_1m_v1

Polymarket Price Targets

End of March — crowd probability
Current spot: $92.93

Model Performance — lgbm_crude_1m_v1

Direction Accuracy
60.0%[56.1, 63.8]
ECE (Calibration)
0.030[0.004, 0.066]
Brier Score
0.245[0.242, 0.247]
OOS R²
0.016

TOP FEATURES (SPLIT IMPORTANCE)

return_6m
19
gas_price_level
18
refinery_util
18
return_1m
18
inventory_vs_5yr
16
cfe_composite
15
brent_wti_spread
10
month
8

Live Scorecard & Signals

No scored forecasts yet — first result on Apr 17, 2026

CURRENT MARKET SIGNALS

RSI (14)57.9
Realized Vol (20d)144.7%
MA200 Deviation45.1%
VIX25.1
Brent-WTI Spread8.1
Inventory vs 5yr-1.4%
For research and informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Model: lgbm_crude_1m_v1 | Data updates every 5 minutes.